Detailansicht
Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
eBook - A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures, SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science
ISBN/EAN: 9783319038230
Umbreit-Nr.: 9278700
Sprache:
Englisch
Umfang: 0 S., 2.58 MB
Format in cm:
Einband:
Keine Angabe
Erschienen am 14.12.2013
Auflage: 1/2013
E-Book
Format: PDF
DRM: Digitales Wasserzeichen
- Zusatztext
- This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.
- Kurztext
- <p>This volume on a high-profile modern issue presents a sophisticated, integrated risk assessment approach to modeling the potential return of malaria to Germany, which could be triggered by the higher temperatures resulting from global climate change.</p>